Czech Republic vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Czech Republic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
CZE
2 - 0
CAN
78%
15%
7%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
BGR
0 - 1
CZE
31%
27%
42%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2013 |
MLT
1 - 4
CZE
14%
24%
62%
|
90 | 49 | 41 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
ITA
2 - 1
CZE
59%
24%
17%
|
90 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2013 |
CZE
1 - 2
ARM
83%
13%
4%
|
90 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
POL
3 - 0
NOR
46%
26%
29%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2014 |
MDA
1 - 2
NOR
18%
25%
57%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
NOR
0 - 1
SCT
48%
26%
26%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
DNK
2 - 1
NOR
57%
23%
20%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
NOR
1 - 1
ISL
71%
19%
10%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | -1 |