Czech Republic vs Wales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
8.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Czech Republic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
CZE
1 - 3
SRB
94%
5%
1%
|
95 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2006 |
CZE
0 - 2
ITA
36%
25%
40%
|
95 | 98 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2006 |
CZE
0 - 2
GHA
94%
5%
1%
|
95 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2006 |
USA
0 - 3
CZE
30%
25%
45%
|
95 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2006 |
CZE
3 - 0
TTO
84%
11%
4%
|
95 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2006 |
WLS
0 - 0
BGR
37%
29%
34%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2006 |
WLS
2 - 1
TTO
58%
25%
18%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2006 |
WLS
0 - 0
PRY
33%
29%
38%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2005 |
CYP
1 - 0
WLS
30%
27%
44%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2005 |
WLS
2 - 0
AZE
77%
17%
7%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |