Central African Republic vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.9%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
1.4%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.9%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.1%
0
16.5%
77.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
16.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.4%
0-2
17.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
23.7%
0-3
12.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
15.6%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Central African Republic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
NGA
0 - 1
CAF
91%
7%
2%
|
33 | 84 | 51 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2021 |
CAF
0 - 1
LBR
8%
14%
79%
|
34 | 57 | 23 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
CAF
1 - 1
CPV
8%
16%
76%
|
33 | 66 | 33 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2021 |
CAF
0 - 5
RWA
9%
17%
75%
|
33 | 63 | 30 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2021 |
RWA
2 - 0
CAF
74%
17%
10%
|
34 | 63 | 29 | -1 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
NGA
0 - 1
CAF
91%
7%
2%
|
84 | 33 | 51 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
CPV
1 - 2
NGA
22%
27%
51%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
NGA
2 - 0
LBR
81%
14%
5%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
MEX
4 - 0
NGA
70%
19%
11%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2021 |
CMR
0 - 0
NGA
32%
28%
39%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |