Reocin vs Castro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.3%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
11.2%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
14.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
0
27.9%
57.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
20.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.9%
0-2
14%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reocin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1990 |
AYR
3 - 0
REO
67%
21%
12%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1990 |
REO
2 - 2
RAM
20%
26%
54%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1990 |
REO
0 - 2
MAR
20%
27%
54%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 1990 |
BAR
5 - 0
REO
85%
12%
3%
|
10 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1990 |
REO
0 - 1
MCU
17%
25%
57%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 1990 |
CAS
1 - 0
BAR
42%
28%
31%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1990 |
MCU
0 - 1
CAS
47%
27%
25%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 1990 |
CAS
4 - 0
CAY
63%
23%
14%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1990 |
BAR
1 - 0
CAS
32%
31%
38%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1990 |
CAS
2 - 1
LAR
11%
20%
69%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | +2 |