Renova vs Makedonija GP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
38%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
5º
9º
9º
39
5º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 51 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
2.5% | 27% |
|
Mid-table
|
49% | 73% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
32% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
16.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Renova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
LJU
3 - 0
REN
4%
10%
86%
|
61 | 5 | 56 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
FKB
1 - 5
REN
18%
25%
57%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
REN
2 - 0
FKS
58%
25%
18%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
TIK
0 - 1
REN
38%
26%
36%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
REN
1 - 1
FCS
33%
29%
38%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Makedonija GP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
POB
0 - 2
MAK
16%
20%
65%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
MAK
2 - 0
FKS
66%
22%
12%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
TIK
4 - 0
MAK
30%
26%
44%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
MAK
1 - 1
FCS
39%
29%
32%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
MAK
1 - 0
VAR
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |