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J2 League. Temporada Regular, Matchday 39

Renofa Yamaguchi Giravanz Kitakyushu
35 ELO 43
-18% Tilt 24%
3802º General ELO ranking 2402º
69º Country ELO ranking 20º
ELO win probability
28.3%
Renofa Yamaguchi
27.2%
Draw
44.5%
Giravanz Kitakyushu

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
Renofa Yamaguchi
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
44.5%
Win probability
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Renofa Yamaguchi
-14%
+11%
Giravanz Kitakyushu

Basic stats

4
1
GF
1
4
GC
35
43
ELO
1
1.4
EXP
Key
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Renofa Yamaguchi
Their league position
Giravanz Kitakyushu
CURR.POS.
22º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
22º
22º
65
22º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Tokushima Vortis
84
84
50%
Avispa Fukuoka
84
84
50%
V-Varen Nagasaki
80
80
100%
Ventforet Kofu
65
65
50%
Giravanz Kitakyushu
65
65
50%
Júbilo Iwata
63
63
100%
Montedio Yamagata
62
62
100%
Kyoto Sanga
59
59
100%
Mito Hollyhock
58
58
50%
Tochigi
10º
58
58
10º
50%
Albirex Niigata
11º
57
57
11º
100%
Tokyo Verdy
12º
54
54
12º
50%
Matsumoto Yamaga
13º
54
54
13º
50%
JEF United
14º
53
53
14º
50%
Omiya Ardija
15º
53
53
15º
50%
Ryūkyū
16º
50
50
16º
50%
Fagiano Okayama
17º
50
50
17º
50%
Zweigen Kanazawa
18º
49
49
18º
33%
Machida Zelvia
19º
49
49
19º
33%
ThespaKusatsu Gunma
20º
49
49
20º
33%
Ehime
21º
34
34
21º
100%
Renofa Yamaguchi
22º
33
33
22º
100%
Expected probabilities
Renofa Yamaguchi
Giravanz Kitakyushu
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Giravanz Kitakyushu
GIR
Renofa Yamaguchi
REN
Omiya Ardija
OMI
Júbilo Iwata
JUB
Machida Zelvia
MAC
Albirex Niigata
ALB
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Renofa Yamaguchi
Renofa Yamaguchi
1%
X%
2%
ELO REN ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Dec. 2020
REN
Renofa Yamaguchi
0 - 2
Ventforet Kofu
VEN
42%
28%
31%
453 602 -149 -4
29 Nov. 2020
TOC
Tochigi
2 - 0
Renofa Yamaguchi
REN
51%
26%
23%
457 653 196 -4
25 Nov. 2020
REN
Renofa Yamaguchi
1 - 2
JEF United
JEF
39%
28%
33%
459 768 -309 -3
22 Nov. 2020
TOK
Tokyo Verdy
2 - 1
Renofa Yamaguchi
REN
56%
24%
20%
461 872 411 -2
15 Nov. 2020
REN
Renofa Yamaguchi
0 - 1
Avispa Fukuoka
AVI
46%
27%
28%
464 535 -71 -3

Matches

Giravanz Kitakyushu
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1%
X%
2%
ELO GIR ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Dec. 2020
TOK
Tokushima Vortis
4 - 1
Giravanz Kitakyushu
GIR
49%
26%
25%
718 810 92 -5
28 Nov. 2020
GIR
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 - 1
Fagiano Okayama
FAG
46%
27%
28%
718 787 -69 0
25 Nov. 2020
MIT
Mito Hollyhock
2 - 2
Giravanz Kitakyushu
GIR
47%
27%
26%
718 759 41 0
21 Nov. 2020
RYK
Ryūkyū
1 - 1
Giravanz Kitakyushu
GIR
37%
28%
36%
718 319 -399 -1
15 Nov. 2020
GIR
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 - 0
Tochigi
TOC
47%
27%
26%
716 657 59 +3