Reno FC vs Waterhouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
26.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reno FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
BOY
4 - 1
REN
43%
28%
29%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
MAG
1 - 0
REN
44%
28%
29%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2017 |
REN
1 - 1
POR
38%
28%
35%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
REN
1 - 0
TRI
35%
27%
38%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2017 |
MON
1 - 1
REN
61%
23%
16%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
WAT
1 - 4
POR
38%
28%
34%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
BOY
0 - 1
WAT
46%
28%
26%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2017 |
WAT
2 - 0
MON
31%
28%
41%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +2 |
| 20 Mar. 2017 |
TRI
2 - 0
WAT
58%
25%
18%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
MAG
1 - 0
WAT
47%
28%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |