Reno FC vs Waterhouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
+1
18.9%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
41.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reno FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
REN
5 - 1
RIV
32%
28%
40%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
TRI
2 - 1
REN
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
HAR
3 - 3
REN
61%
24%
15%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
REN
3 - 2
LIO
30%
28%
42%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2014 |
MON
1 - 1
REN
71%
19%
10%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
ARN
0 - 0
WAT
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2014 |
LIO
0 - 1
WAT
35%
29%
36%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +2 |
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
WAT
3 - 0
MON
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
WAT
1 - 2
DCU
39%
26%
36%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
WAT
4 - 1
TAU
54%
24%
23%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |