Reno 1868 vs Portland Timbers II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
12%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.7%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.8%
5.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reno 1868
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
REN
2 - 1
ARI
31%
25%
44%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
SDL
1 - 3
REN
49%
25%
27%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
REN
5 - 2
POR
80%
13%
7%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2020 |
REN
0 - 1
SAC
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2020 |
REN
2 - 1
TAC
72%
16%
12%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Portland Timbers II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2020 |
POR
1 - 2
SAC
21%
23%
56%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2020 |
POR
2 - 3
LAG
21%
21%
58%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
SAC
2 - 1
POR
72%
17%
11%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
REN
5 - 2
POR
80%
13%
7%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2020 |
POR
0 - 1
SAC
28%
24%
48%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |