Rende vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
55.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
RPO
2 - 2
REN
73%
19%
9%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
REN
0 - 0
PAG
29%
26%
45%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
TER
3 - 0
REN
68%
20%
12%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
REN
1 - 1
USV
23%
25%
52%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
BIS
1 - 0
REN
38%
26%
35%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
AVE
0 - 0
CAV
52%
23%
25%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
FRA
1 - 1
AVE
44%
26%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
BIS
1 - 1
AVE
20%
23%
57%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
AVE
1 - 1
PIC
67%
20%
13%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
CAT
3 - 1
AVE
47%
26%
27%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |