Rende vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
41.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rende
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
REN
1 - 0
SMC
20%
21%
60%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
ASD
2 - 0
REN
39%
25%
36%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
REN
1 - 4
DAT
42%
23%
35%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
LUC
3 - 2
REN
57%
20%
23%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
REN
0 - 2
ROC
59%
23%
18%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
MES
2 - 0
LUC
47%
22%
31%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
SMC
1 - 1
MES
59%
23%
18%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
MES
1 - 0
PAT
32%
25%
43%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
DAT
1 - 2
MES
50%
23%
27%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
MES
1 - 0
USC
45%
24%
31%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |