Renate vs Lecco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.7%
11.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Renate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CUN
1 - 1
REN
57%
23%
20%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
REN
1 - 1
RIM
30%
27%
43%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
SAV
1 - 1
REN
55%
24%
21%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
REN
1 - 0
VIN
57%
24%
19%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
USP
2 - 0
REN
38%
27%
35%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Lecco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
LEC
0 - 2
TRE
18%
25%
57%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 2
LEC
72%
18%
10%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
LEC
2 - 1
SAN
13%
22%
65%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | +4 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
ACM
2 - 1
LEC
63%
22%
15%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
LEC
2 - 1
ACS
42%
26%
32%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |