Remo vs Progresso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.9%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.7%
5.4%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Remo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2008 |
CRI
1 - 1
REM
21%
25%
54%
|
59 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2008 |
REM
2 - 1
AGU
70%
18%
12%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2008 |
AGU
1 - 1
REM
24%
23%
54%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
REM
3 - 2
PAY
55%
22%
23%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2008 |
REM
1 - 1
REC
69%
19%
13%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Progresso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 2008 |
PRO
0 - 2
HOL
31%
25%
44%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2008 |
ARO
1 - 1
PRO
50%
23%
27%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2008 |
PRO
3 - 5
ARO
58%
21%
21%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |