Reggina vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
23.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
ROM
2 - 0
REG
75%
16%
9%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2003 |
REG
3 - 0
SAL
69%
20%
11%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
REG
0 - 0
ANC
59%
24%
17%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
REG
2 - 1
SIE
56%
25%
19%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
PRG
0 - 0
REG
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
MOD
1 - 0
PRG
29%
27%
45%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2003 |
MOD
2 - 0
SSS
65%
22%
13%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
PAR
3 - 0
MOD
70%
19%
11%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2003 |
MOD
2 - 0
LEC
49%
26%
25%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
EMP
0 - 3
MOD
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |