Reggina vs Casertana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.1%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
6.6%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Reggina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
REG
0 - 1
CAS
79%
15%
6%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2014 |
REG
1 - 2
TER
38%
29%
33%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
AVE
3 - 0
REG
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
REG
1 - 2
CES
31%
29%
40%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2014 |
SIE
2 - 1
REG
72%
19%
9%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
CES
1 - 0
CAS
83%
13%
4%
|
39 | 73 | 34 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
CRO
0 - 0
CAS
85%
12%
4%
|
38 | 68 | 30 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
REG
0 - 1
CAS
79%
15%
6%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
TUT
3 - 0
CAS
34%
27%
39%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
CAS
4 - 0
CHI
64%
22%
14%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |