Regar-TadAZ vs Istiklol Dushanbe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
33.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+120%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Regar-TadAZ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
KHU
2 - 2
REG
42%
24%
34%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
REG
3 - 0
VAK
55%
23%
22%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +2 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
REG
2 - 0
IST
47%
24%
30%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
RAZ
0 - 5
REG
60%
20%
20%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
REG
2 - 1
FKE
44%
22%
34%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Istiklol Dushanbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
IST
2 - 1
FCF
70%
16%
14%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2023 |
KHU
0 - 4
IST
41%
23%
36%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
FAK
3 - 0
IST
80%
14%
6%
|
31 | 62 | 31 | -2 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
CSK
1 - 5
IST
26%
23%
51%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +2 |
| 23 Nov. 2022 |
IST
2 - 0
KHU
55%
21%
24%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |