Redditch United vs Bashley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
33.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Redditch United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
RED
0 - 4
FRO
48%
25%
27%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
AFT
0 - 0
RED
75%
15%
10%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
RED
1 - 0
CHI
35%
26%
39%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
SWI
0 - 2
RED
54%
23%
23%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 1
RED
71%
18%
12%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
BAS
0 - 0
ARL
40%
25%
36%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
STA
2 - 0
BAS
58%
21%
21%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
BAS
1 - 1
BRA
26%
23%
51%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
CHE
2 - 1
BAS
55%
23%
22%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
BAS
2 - 1
LEA
35%
25%
40%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +2 |