Non League Div One Isthmian Norte. Jor. 29

Redbridge vs Basildon United analysis

Redbridge Basildon United
26 ELO 23
1.5% Tilt 4.4%
8673º General ELO ranking 8821º
463º Country ELO ranking 476º
ELO win probability
51.6%
Redbridge
21.5%
Draw
26.9%
Basildon United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
Redbridge
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
26.9%
Win probability
Basildon United
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Redbridge
-23%
-22%
Basildon United

Points and table prediction

Redbridge
Their league position
Basildon United
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
16º
14º
52
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Lowestoft Town
78
82
92.5%
Bury Town
74
78
46.5%
Felixstowe & Walton Utd
74
78
29.5%
Bowers and Pitsea
73
77
28.5%
Brentwood Town
72
76
54.5%
Walthamstow
62
65
53.5%
Heybridge Swifts
60
63
42.5%
Brightlingsea Regent
57
60
49.5%
Basildon United
52
55
28.5%
Gorleston
10º
50
53
10º
33.5%
East Thurrock United FC
20º
0
53
11º
3%
Maldon & Tiptree
11º
49
52
12º
28.5%
Wroxham
12º
48
51
13º
34%
Redbridge
13º
47
50
14º
37%
Witham Town
14º
45
48
15º
52.5%
New Salamis
15º
35
38
16º
69%
Grays Athletic
16º
33
36
17º
66.5%
Ipswich Wanderers
17º
29
30
18º
89%
Enfield FC
18º
22
22
19º
97.5%
Stowmarket Town
19º
6
6
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Redbridge
Basildon United
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Redbridge
Basildon United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Redbridge
Redbridge
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 2024
HEY
Heybridge Swifts
0 - 0
Redbridge
RED
64%
19%
17%
25 33 8 0
30 Mar. 2024
STO
Stowmarket Town
0 - 5
Redbridge
RED
14%
18%
67%
25 15 10 0
23 Mar. 2024
RED
Redbridge
0 - 0
Wroxham
WRO
49%
22%
29%
25 25 0 0
16 Mar. 2024
GRA
Grays Athletic
2 - 0
Redbridge
RED
25%
22%
53%
26 20 6 -1
09 Mar. 2024
WAL
Walthamstow
0 - 2
Redbridge
RED
54%
21%
24%
25 30 5 +1

Matches

Basildon United
Basildon United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 2024
GOR
Gorleston
3 - 3
Basildon United
BAS
48%
23%
30%
24 25 1 0
01 Apr. 2024
NSA
New Salamis
4 - 0
Basildon United
BAS
40%
22%
37%
26 22 4 -2
26 Mar. 2024
BAS
Basildon United
1 - 3
Bury Town
BUR
22%
22%
56%
27 38 11 -1
23 Mar. 2024
IPS
Ipswich Wanderers
2 - 1
Basildon United
BAS
24%
21%
55%
28 20 8 -1
20 Mar. 2024
ENF
Enfield FC
0 - 3
Basildon United
BAS
20%
21%
59%
27 18 9 +1
X