New York RB vs Chicago Fire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
28.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New York RB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
RBN
1 - 0
COC
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
MON
2 - 1
RBN
36%
25%
39%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
CFS
2 - 1
RBN
37%
25%
38%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2021 |
RBN
0 - 0
CIN
68%
21%
12%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
RBN
2 - 3
NER
33%
26%
41%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
ORL
1 - 0
CFS
52%
23%
25%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
IMI
3 - 2
CFS
36%
28%
37%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2021 |
CFS
1 - 0
COC
42%
26%
33%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
CFS
2 - 1
RBN
37%
25%
38%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2021 |
CFS
0 - 0
NYC
29%
25%
47%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |