Recreativo vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
17.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
RMC
1 - 2
REC
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
REC
2 - 1
CDT
66%
22%
12%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
ZAR
1 - 2
REC
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
REC
3 - 0
FCB
38%
27%
36%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
MIR
0 - 3
REC
43%
28%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
LUG
1 - 0
CCF
39%
27%
34%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
RMC
2 - 0
LUG
65%
20%
15%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
LUG
3 - 0
UDL
34%
27%
40%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
CDT
0 - 1
LUG
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
LUG
1 - 2
GIR
32%
26%
42%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |