Recreativo vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
30%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
VCF
2 - 0
REC
67%
21%
13%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
REC
4 - 2
RAC
45%
27%
28%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
OSA
1 - 1
REC
56%
25%
20%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
REC
4 - 2
CEL
44%
28%
28%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
GIM
1 - 1
REC
38%
27%
34%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
ATH
1 - 4
RMA
25%
26%
49%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
SEV
4 - 1
ATH
64%
22%
15%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
ATH
2 - 1
ESP
44%
28%
29%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
ATH
1 - 0
VCF
33%
28%
39%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
RAC
5 - 4
ATH
49%
25%
26%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |