Recanatese vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.9%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
64.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
17.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.7%
0-2
15.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-60%
-59%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recanatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
OLY
3 - 0
REC
72%
18%
10%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
REC
1 - 1
JES
28%
26%
46%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 0
REC
77%
15%
8%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
REC
2 - 1
AST
26%
26%
47%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +2 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 0
REC
46%
26%
29%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
ANC
2 - 0
CIT
85%
11%
5%
|
60 | 24 | 36 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
FID
1 - 0
ANC
18%
24%
58%
|
60 | 34 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
ANC
1 - 2
CIV
83%
12%
5%
|
61 | 35 | 26 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
TER
1 - 3
ANC
22%
26%
53%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
FCC
0 - 0
ANC
12%
21%
67%
|
60 | 22 | 38 | 0 |