Rebordosa vs Castro Daire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
57.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
7º
3º
20
7º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
35% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
77.5% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
93% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
93% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
71.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
67% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
67% | |
|
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
84% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
84% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
18.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
81.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rebordosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
BMA
1 - 3
REB
85%
11%
5%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
REB
2 - 0
MAR
11%
16%
73%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | +4 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
GUA
3 - 1
REB
84%
11%
6%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
REB
2 - 1
LUS
14%
20%
66%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
GON
1 - 0
REB
74%
16%
10%
|
18 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Castro Daire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 0
ALP
83%
12%
5%
|
40 | 16 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
VAL
0 - 0
CAS
58%
24%
18%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
SER
3 - 0
CAS
38%
29%
33%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 1
CAM
60%
24%
17%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MAC
2 - 2
CAS
8%
16%
76%
|
42 | 12 | 30 | -1 |