Real Zaragoza vs Villarreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
36.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
MAL
5 - 1
ZAR
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2012 |
ZAR
0 - 2
BET
46%
25%
29%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ESP
0 - 2
ZAR
63%
21%
16%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
ZAR
1 - 2
RAY
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
RMA
3 - 1
ZAR
94%
5%
1%
|
81 | 97 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
VIL
2 - 2
ATH
42%
26%
32%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
MLL
4 - 0
VIL
42%
26%
32%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
VIL
3 - 1
GRA
71%
18%
11%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
SEV
1 - 2
VIL
64%
20%
16%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 0
FCB
8%
18%
74%
|
85 | 98 | 13 | 0 |