Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 6-4
Real Zaragoza vs Racing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.8%
Win probability
3.3
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.7%
4-0
7%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
11%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11%
7.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
ZAR
1 - 1
ATM
52%
22%
27%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1962 |
MLL
1 - 0
ZAR
38%
24%
38%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1962 |
ZAR
3 - 0
ESP
71%
16%
13%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1962 |
OSA
5 - 1
ZAR
55%
21%
25%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1962 |
ZAR
4 - 0
BET
68%
17%
15%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1962 |
FCB
8 - 0
RAC
92%
6%
3%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1962 |
RAC
2 - 1
BUR
83%
11%
6%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1962 |
RAC
1 - 0
RSO
56%
22%
21%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1962 |
SEV
3 - 1
RAC
67%
19%
14%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1962 |
CDT
0 - 0
RAC
46%
24%
29%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |