Segunda . Jor. 25

Real Zaragoza vs Ponferradina analysis

Real Zaragoza Ponferradina
68 ELO 64
-20.3% Tilt -5.2%
759º General ELO ranking 973º
40º Country ELO ranking 43º
ELO win probability
44.4%
Real Zaragoza
28.7%
Draw
26.8%
Ponferradina

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
Real Zaragoza
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.3%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
26.8%
Win probability
Ponferradina
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Real Zaragoza
-11%
-4%
Ponferradina

Points and table prediction

Real Zaragoza
Their league position
Ponferradina
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
10º
19º
13º
44
20º
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
19º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Granada
75
75
100%
Las Palmas
72
72
100%
Levante
72
72
100%
Deportivo Alavés
71
71
0%
Eibar
71
71
0%
Albacete
67
67
100%
FC Andorra
59
59
0%
Real Oviedo
59
59
0%
FC Cartagena
58
58
100%
Tenerife
10º
57
57
10º
100%
Racing
12º
54
54
11º
100%
Burgos
11º
54
54
12º
100%
Real Zaragoza
13º
53
53
13º
0%
Leganés
14º
53
53
14º
0%
Huesca
15º
52
52
15º
0%
Mirandés
16º
52
52
16º
0%
Real Sporting
17º
50
50
17º
0%
Villarreal B
18º
50
50
18º
0%
Málaga
20º
44
44
19º
100%
Ponferradina
19º
44
44
20º
100%
UD Ibiza
21º
34
34
21º
100%
CD Lugo
22º
31
31
22º
100%
Expected probabilities
Real Zaragoza
Ponferradina
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Real Zaragoza
Ponferradina
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Real Zaragoza
Real Zaragoza
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Jan. 2023
SPO
Real Sporting
1 - 0
Real Zaragoza
ZAR
45%
27%
28%
68 70 2 0
14 Jan. 2023
VIL
Villarreal B
2 - 3
Real Zaragoza
ZAR
39%
27%
34%
68 63 5 0
08 Jan. 2023
ZAR
Real Zaragoza
0 - 0
Mirandés
MIR
43%
29%
28%
68 65 3 0
19 Dec. 2022
LEG
Leganés
2 - 1
Real Zaragoza
ZAR
49%
27%
24%
68 73 5 0
10 Dec. 2022
ZAR
Real Zaragoza
3 - 0
Huesca
HUE
28%
29%
43%
67 72 5 +1

Matches

Ponferradina
Ponferradina
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Jan. 2023
PON
Ponferradina
0 - 1
Eibar
EIB
24%
25%
51%
65 80 15 0
14 Jan. 2023
CDT
Tenerife
0 - 0
Ponferradina
PON
50%
27%
23%
65 70 5 0
06 Jan. 2023
PON
Ponferradina
2 - 1
Villarreal B
VIL
49%
25%
26%
64 64 0 +1
17 Dec. 2022
MIR
Mirandés
2 - 1
Ponferradina
PON
52%
25%
24%
65 66 1 -1
14 Dec. 2022
PON
Ponferradina
2 - 4
Atlético
ATM
11%
19%
70%
65 89 24 0
X