Real Zaragoza vs Málaga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
25.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
ZAR
1 - 0
ALB
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
ALC
0 - 3
ZAR
36%
27%
36%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
ZAR
2 - 2
UDL
44%
27%
29%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
ZAR
1 - 0
GIR
37%
26%
38%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2020 |
GIM
1 - 0
ZAR
15%
19%
66%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
MAL
0 - 0
UDL
41%
28%
31%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
RAY
4 - 0
MAL
54%
26%
20%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
MAL
1 - 0
ALC
46%
28%
26%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
CAS
0 - 1
MAL
15%
29%
56%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
CDT
2 - 0
MAL
47%
28%
25%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |