Sporting Atlético vs Avilés Stadium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.2%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.3%
3-0
12%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.1%
4.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
1º
8º
2º
21
10º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 14 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 1
SPB
8%
19%
73%
|
42 | 16 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
SPB
2 - 1
COL
79%
13%
8%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
SPB
4 - 0
LUA
84%
11%
5%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
UDL
0 - 2
SPB
51%
24%
25%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
SPB
2 - 1
TUI
83%
11%
6%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Avilés Stadium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
LLA
2 - 2
AVI
67%
19%
14%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
AVI
2 - 1
VAL
60%
24%
16%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
AVI
2 - 1
COL
15%
23%
62%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
LUA
3 - 2
AVI
54%
23%
23%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
AVI
1 - 1
UDL
8%
18%
73%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | +1 |