Real Santander vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
34.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Santander
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
BOG
1 - 4
REA
54%
24%
22%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
TFC
1 - 1
REA
47%
27%
26%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2021 |
COR
1 - 2
REA
66%
21%
14%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
REA
0 - 3
CAR
42%
27%
32%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2021 |
REA
1 - 1
COR
20%
22%
58%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
FOR
1 - 1
CAR
48%
26%
27%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2021 |
BJC
1 - 4
FOR
38%
27%
35%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +2 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
LEO
2 - 1
FOR
41%
26%
33%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
FOR
3 - 1
ORS
51%
25%
24%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 0
LEO
37%
24%
40%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |