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Second Division. Matchday 39

Real Oviedo Málaga
56 ELO 62
0% Tilt -12%
688º General ELO ranking 449º
46º Country ELO ranking 29º
ELO win probability
42.5%
Real Oviedo
28.8%
Draw
28.7%
Málaga

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
Real Oviedo
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.7%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
28.7%
Win probability
Málaga
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Real Oviedo
-9%
-34%
Málaga

Basic stats

48
52
POS
4
6
SOT
3
1
COR
1
0
GF
0
1
GC
56
62
ELO
1.2
1
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Real Oviedo
Their league position
Málaga
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
10º
20º
13º
53
22º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Espanyol
82
82
50%
Mallorca
82
82
50%
Leganés
73
73
50%
Almería
73
73
50%
Girona
71
71
100%
Rayo Vallecano
67
67
100%
Real Sporting
65
65
100%
Ponferradina
57
57
100%
Las Palmas
56
56
100%
Mirandés
10º
54
54
10º
50%
Fuenlabrada
11º
54
54
11º
50%
Málaga
12º
53
53
12º
100%
Real Oviedo
13º
52
52
14º
50%
Tenerife
14º
52
52
13º
50%
Real Zaragoza
15º
50
50
15º
100%
FC Cartagena
16º
49
49
16º
100%
Alcorcón
17º
48
48
17º
100%
Lugo
18º
47
47
18º
100%
Sabadell
19º
46
46
19º
100%
UD Logroñés
20º
44
44
20º
100%
CD Castellón
21º
41
41
21º
100%
Albacete
22º
38
38
22º
100%
Expected probabilities
Real Oviedo
Málaga
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion playoffs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Málaga
MAL
Real Oviedo
ROV
Girona
GIR
Rayo Vallecano
RAY
Real Sporting
SPO
Mirandés
MIR
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Real Oviedo
Real Oviedo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ROV ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 May. 2021
ROV
Real Oviedo
2 - 1
Sabadell
SAB
52%
25%
22%
1184 993 191 +5
01 May. 2021
ALM
Almería
2 - 2
Real Oviedo
ROV
53%
25%
22%
1183 1316 133 +1
25 Apr. 2021
ROV
Real Oviedo
0 - 1
Girona
GIR
37%
28%
36%
1188 1642 -454 -5
17 Apr. 2021
SPO
Real Sporting
0 - 1
Real Oviedo
ROV
55%
24%
21%
1180 1486 306 +8
10 Apr. 2021
ROV
Real Oviedo
0 - 0
Las Palmas
UDL
40%
28%
32%
1179 1487 -308 +1

Matches

Málaga
Málaga
1%
X%
2%
ELO MAL ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 May. 2021
MAL
Málaga
1 - 1
Mallorca
MLL
44%
27%
29%
1485 1679 -194 0
02 May. 2021
ESP
Espanyol
3 - 0
Málaga
MAL
56%
24%
20%
1493 1816 323 -7
24 Apr. 2021
MAL
Málaga
0 - 1
Fuenlabrada
FUE
60%
22%
18%
1501 1064 437 -9
17 Apr. 2021
UDL
Las Palmas
1 - 1
Málaga
MAL
47%
27%
26%
1501 1486 -15 0
11 Apr. 2021
MAL
Málaga
2 - 0
Albacete
ALB
57%
23%
20%
1495 1087 408 +6