Capixaba . Quarter-finals
Global 3-7
Real Noroeste vs Vitória ES analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
42.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
VIT
3 - 1
REA
53%
24%
24%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
RIO
0 - 1
REA
51%
25%
24%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
REA
1 - 2
RIO
40%
26%
34%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
REA
2 - 2
DES
64%
21%
15%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
REA
1 - 4
CUI
11%
24%
66%
|
53 | 86 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória ES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
VIT
3 - 1
REA
53%
24%
24%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
RVV
2 - 1
VIT
20%
21%
59%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
VIT
0 - 0
JAG
59%
20%
21%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
RIO
1 - 0
VIT
33%
25%
42%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
VIT
1 - 2
DES
75%
16%
9%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | -1 |