Real Noroeste vs Vitória ES analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
34.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2021 |
RVV
1 - 1
REA
55%
21%
24%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2021 |
REA
0 - 0
RVV
24%
22%
54%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
VIT
1 - 2
REA
44%
25%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2021 |
REA
0 - 0
VIT
41%
25%
34%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
REA
1 - 0
EST
59%
22%
19%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória ES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
VIT
4 - 0
COL
9%
14%
77%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
VIT
1 - 2
REA
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2021 |
REA
0 - 0
VIT
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
VIT
3 - 1
VFC
51%
23%
27%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
VFC
1 - 2
VIT
31%
23%
46%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |