Real Murcia vs Elche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
15.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
ZAR
2 - 1
MUR
74%
17%
9%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
MUR
0 - 0
UDL
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
RSO
2 - 0
MUR
61%
23%
16%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
MUR
1 - 2
LEV
48%
26%
27%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2008 |
XER
1 - 1
MUR
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Elche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
ELC
2 - 2
HUE
72%
19%
9%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
ZAR
2 - 0
ELC
79%
14%
7%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
ELC
2 - 4
CDT
47%
26%
26%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
UDL
2 - 0
ELC
50%
27%
24%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2008 |
ELC
2 - 0
ALA
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |