Real Murcia vs Villanovense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
28.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
MAD
0 - 0
MUR
38%
27%
35%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
EXT
0 - 2
MUR
21%
26%
53%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
MUR
0 - 1
ROD
70%
20%
11%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
MUR
1 - 0
SAN
74%
18%
9%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
CDE
2 - 3
MUR
25%
27%
48%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Villanovense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
VIL
0 - 0
EXT
73%
18%
10%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
VIL
4 - 0
SAN
73%
18%
10%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
RJA
1 - 1
VIL
34%
26%
40%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
VIL
3 - 1
MAR
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 1
VIL
43%
27%
30%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |