Real Murcia vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
38.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
HER
0 - 1
MUR
40%
29%
30%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2006 |
MUR
0 - 1
UDL
66%
20%
13%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
MUR
2 - 1
CAS
59%
24%
17%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
CAD
1 - 1
MUR
67%
21%
13%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
MUR
3 - 2
ALM
50%
28%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
ALA
0 - 0
CDT
65%
21%
13%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2006 |
CDT
1 - 2
ALA
38%
27%
35%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
VEC
0 - 1
ALA
27%
28%
45%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
ALA
3 - 1
RMC
68%
20%
12%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
MAL
1 - 0
ALA
49%
26%
25%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |