Real Murcia vs AgD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.8%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
8.9%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
POL
1 - 2
MUR
22%
27%
51%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
MUR
1 - 0
BET
80%
15%
5%
|
70 | 47 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
EST
1 - 4
MUR
13%
24%
63%
|
70 | 44 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
MUR
4 - 0
YEC
82%
14%
5%
|
70 | 38 | 32 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
ALM
1 - 0
MUR
11%
23%
67%
|
71 | 41 | 30 | -1 |
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
AGD
4 - 0
ALC
69%
20%
11%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
RJA
1 - 1
AGD
40%
30%
30%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
AGD
1 - 1
CAD
27%
26%
47%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
ROQ
1 - 1
AGD
48%
26%
26%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
AGD
1 - 5
SEV
46%
26%
28%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |