Real Monarchs vs Sacramento Republic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
24.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Monarchs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2019 |
MON
2 - 2
AUB
59%
21%
20%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
ARI
1 - 2
MON
69%
18%
13%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
MON
2 - 0
ORA
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
REN
1 - 2
MON
63%
20%
17%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
RGV
3 - 1
MON
21%
24%
55%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Sacramento Republic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
SAC
2 - 3
ORA
44%
26%
30%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
TUL
2 - 3
SAC
20%
23%
56%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2019 |
SAC
2 - 2
LAG
45%
25%
30%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
SAC
1 - 2
EPL
57%
24%
19%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2019 |
OKC
0 - 0
SAC
34%
27%
38%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |