Real Monarchs vs Rio Grande Valley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
42.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Monarchs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
MON
1 - 1
COL
20%
21%
59%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
MON
4 - 3
AUB
24%
23%
53%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | +3 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
MON
0 - 0
COL
16%
20%
65%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
RGV
3 - 0
MON
63%
21%
17%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
EPL
1 - 0
MON
69%
19%
12%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Grande Valley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
RGV
2 - 0
NMU
31%
26%
43%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
COL
1 - 0
RGV
52%
25%
23%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
NMU
1 - 1
RGV
56%
24%
21%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
RGV
3 - 0
MON
63%
21%
17%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
NMU
2 - 0
RGV
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |