Real Monarchs vs New Mexico United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
46.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Monarchs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
MON
1 - 1
USA
28%
25%
47%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2021 |
TAC
1 - 1
MON
43%
24%
33%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
MON
1 - 2
EPL
34%
28%
38%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
RGV
1 - 0
MON
49%
24%
27%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2021 |
MON
2 - 0
SAC
37%
26%
37%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
New Mexico United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
COL
3 - 1
NMU
21%
25%
54%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2021 |
NMU
2 - 0
USA
42%
25%
33%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
NMU
0 - 0
AUB
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
MON
0 - 1
NMU
30%
25%
45%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
NMU
0 - 1
LOU
75%
16%
9%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | -1 |