Real Monarchs vs New Mexico United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
24.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Monarchs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
MON
0 - 1
EPL
65%
20%
15%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
COL
1 - 2
MON
16%
22%
62%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
MON
3 - 3
COL
76%
15%
9%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2020 |
MON
0 - 1
SDL
45%
25%
30%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
USA
1 - 0
MON
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
New Mexico United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
COL
0 - 1
NMU
17%
21%
62%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2020 |
ARI
5 - 2
NMU
65%
19%
16%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
OKC
0 - 3
NMU
30%
24%
47%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
EPL
1 - 2
NMU
45%
25%
30%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2020 |
EPL
2 - 2
NMU
47%
24%
30%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |