Real Madriz vs Managua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
36.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madriz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2018 |
JUV
2 - 3
REA
54%
23%
23%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
DIR
1 - 1
REA
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2018 |
REA
1 - 1
JAP
47%
23%
30%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
EST
4 - 0
REA
58%
23%
20%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
WAL
2 - 2
REA
60%
22%
18%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Managua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2018 |
MAN
5 - 1
JAP
59%
22%
20%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
EST
1 - 1
MAN
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
MAN
1 - 0
UNA
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2018 |
JUV
2 - 2
MAN
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
MAN
2 - 3
UNA
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -2 |