Copa Nicaragua 1/16
Global 4-3
Real Madriz vs Águilas de León analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
10.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madriz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
FAL
2 - 1
REA
7%
12%
81%
|
48 | 7 | 41 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2022 |
REA
0 - 0
CDS
28%
25%
47%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2022 |
MAN
3 - 0
REA
75%
15%
10%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
REA
3 - 0
JAP
35%
27%
39%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
REA
2 - 1
DMY
70%
18%
13%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Águilas de León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
FAL
2 - 1
REA
7%
12%
81%
|
7 | 48 | 41 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2022 |
MFC
5 - 0
FAL
85%
11%
4%
|
7 | 58 | 51 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
FAL
1 - 5
MFC
6%
12%
82%
|
7 | 58 | 51 | 0 |