Copa Nicaragua . Semi-finals
Global 2-2
Real Madriz vs ART Jalapa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
21.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madriz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2021 |
REA
1 - 2
EST
23%
26%
51%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
REA
3 - 1
WAL
24%
26%
50%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
REA
3 - 3
CDS
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 1
REA
68%
18%
14%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
JAP
1 - 1
REA
26%
23%
51%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
ART Jalapa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
MAN
3 - 0
JAP
78%
14%
8%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
DEP
0 - 0
JAP
41%
27%
33%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2021 |
JAP
2 - 1
DIR
13%
24%
63%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2021 |
JUV
3 - 1
JAP
56%
23%
22%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
JAP
1 - 1
REA
26%
23%
51%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |