Real Madrid vs Real Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.4%
Win probability
3.78
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.6%
7-0
2.6%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.5%
6-0
4.8%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.8%
5-0
7.6%
6-1
3.2%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
11.4%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16.2%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.9%
6.5%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
2.9%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
6.5%
2.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1964 |
RMA
1 - 0
ELC
88%
8%
4%
|
94 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1964 |
ATH
2 - 3
RMA
23%
23%
54%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1964 |
OVI
0 - 2
RMA
14%
21%
65%
|
94 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1963 |
RMA
3 - 0
LEV
91%
6%
3%
|
94 | 70 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1963 |
SEV
1 - 0
RMA
18%
22%
60%
|
94 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1964 |
VAD
0 - 3
ATM
38%
26%
37%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1964 |
ELC
2 - 0
VAD
72%
16%
13%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 1964 |
MUR
2 - 1
VAD
39%
26%
36%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1963 |
VAD
1 - 1
ATH
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1963 |
VAD
0 - 1
PON
72%
16%
12%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |