Champions League . Last 16
Global 2-4
Real Madrid vs Standard de Liège analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
10.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 1969 |
RMA
3 - 1
CEL
83%
13%
5%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1969 |
VCF
1 - 0
RMA
33%
27%
41%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1969 |
SDL
1 - 0
RMA
38%
25%
37%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 1969 |
RMA
1 - 1
ATM
73%
18%
10%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1969 |
SEV
1 - 0
RMA
20%
26%
54%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Standard de Liège
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1969 |
SDL
2 - 0
UNI
71%
19%
11%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1969 |
STR
1 - 3
SDL
35%
28%
36%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1969 |
SDL
1 - 0
RMA
38%
25%
37%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1969 |
BRU
1 - 1
SDL
54%
24%
22%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1969 |
SDL
9 - 0
MOL
69%
19%
13%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | +1 |