Real Madrid vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
9.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
LEG
1 - 0
RMA
9%
17%
75%
|
92 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
BET
1 - 2
RMA
15%
19%
66%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2019 |
RMA
3 - 0
LEG
88%
9%
3%
|
92 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
RMA
0 - 2
RSO
83%
12%
6%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2019 |
VIL
2 - 2
RMA
14%
18%
68%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
SEV
0 - 1
ATH
59%
22%
19%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
ATH
2 - 0
SEV
29%
25%
46%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2019 |
ATH
1 - 3
SEV
33%
26%
42%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
SEV
1 - 1
ATM
38%
26%
36%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
LEG
1 - 1
SEV
21%
23%
56%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |