Real Madrid vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
8.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2016 |
BYM
0 - 1
RMA
46%
24%
30%
|
95 | 95 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
RMA
3 - 2
CHL
78%
14%
9%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
RMA
1 - 3
PSG
78%
14%
9%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
RMA
1 - 1
ATM
66%
19%
15%
|
95 | 94 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
DEP
0 - 2
RMA
9%
17%
74%
|
95 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2016 |
GRA
0 - 2
SEV
22%
24%
54%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
STP
1 - 2
SEV
16%
22%
63%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
M05
0 - 1
SEV
28%
25%
47%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
SVS
1 - 2
SEV
11%
20%
69%
|
89 | 67 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
SFE
1 - 2
SEV
15%
21%
64%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |