Real Madrid vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
9.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
RMA
3 - 1
JUV
69%
18%
13%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
MUD
2 - 1
RMA
19%
22%
59%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
RMA
3 - 1
LIV
62%
18%
19%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 2
RMA
13%
18%
69%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
RMA
6 - 0
CEL
83%
11%
6%
|
93 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
FCB
2 - 4
ROM
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
ROM
1 - 4
TOT
52%
23%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2018 |
ROM
1 - 1
AVE
85%
11%
4%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
LAT
0 - 9
ROM
11%
19%
70%
|
88 | 52 | 36 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
SAS
0 - 1
ROM
18%
22%
60%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |