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La Liga. Matchday 13

Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano analysis

Real Madrid Rayo Vallecano
93 ELO 64
-10% Tilt 5%
General ELO ranking 453º
Country ELO ranking 28º
ELO win probability
81.6%
Real Madrid
12.4%
Draw
5.9%
Rayo Vallecano

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.6%
Win probability
Real Madrid
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
12.4%
5.9%
Win probability
Rayo Vallecano
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Real Madrid
+38%
+63%
Rayo Vallecano

Points and table prediction

Real Madrid
Their league position
Rayo Vallecano
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
16
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
R. Sociedad
20
64
7%
Real Madrid
17
91
2%
Sevilla
17
67
8%
Atlético
17
71
7%
Osasuna
17
61
7%
Rayo Vallecano
16
58
6%
Barcelona
15
75
4%
Real Betis
15
61
6%
Athletic
13
51
11º
5%
Valencia
10º
12
66
4%
Espanyol
11º
12
42
13º
6%
Villarreal
12º
11
56
10º
5%
Mallorca
13º
11
38
15º
6%
Elche
14º
9
35
17º
6%
Celta
15º
7
40
14º
6%
Cádiz
16º
7
38
16º
7%
Granada
17º
6
43
12º
6%
Levante
18º
5
35
18º
8%
Alavés
19º
3
20
20º
11%
Getafe
20º
2
25
19º
10%
Expected probabilities
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
Champion
97% 3%
Champions League
2% 19%
Europa League
0% 7%
Europa Conference League
0% 6%
Mid-table
0% 54%
Relegation
0% 12%

ELO progression

Rayo Vallecano
RAY
Real Madrid
RMA
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
1%
X%
2%
ELO RMA ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Oct. 2021
SHA
Shakhtar Donetsk
0 - 5
Real Madrid
RMA
15%
20%
64%
3416 1756 -1660 +12
03 Oct. 2021
ESP
Espanyol
2 - 1
Real Madrid
RMA
15%
20%
64%
3433 1802 -1631 -22
28 Sep. 2021
RMA
Real Madrid
1 - 2
Sheriff
SHF
80%
12%
8%
3482 1369 2113 -46
25 Sep. 2021
RMA
Real Madrid
0 - 0
Villarreal
VIL
72%
18%
10%
3487 2652 835 -8
22 Sep. 2021
RMA
Real Madrid
6 - 1
Mallorca
MLL
86%
10%
4%
3485 1760 1725 +3

Matches

Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
1%
X%
2%
ELO RAY ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Oct. 2021
RAY
Rayo Vallecano
2 - 1
Elche
ELC
47%
27%
26%
1586 1646 -60 +12
06 Oct. 2021
RAY
Rayo Vallecano
2 - 1
Rayo Majadahonda
MAJ
71%
18%
11%
1579 466 1113 +7
02 Oct. 2021
OSA
Osasuna
1 - 0
Rayo Vallecano
RAY
61%
22%
17%
1585 2201 616 -6
26 Sep. 2021
RAY
Rayo Vallecano
3 - 1
Cádiz
CAD
39%
28%
33%
1562 1964 -402 +23
21 Sep. 2021
ATH
Athletic
1 - 2
Rayo Vallecano
RAY
71%
18%
11%
1541 2560 1019 +21