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La Liga. Matchday 11

Real Madrid vs Osasuna analysis

Real Madrid Osasuna
94 ELO 75
-10% Tilt 14%
General ELO ranking 135º
Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
72.5%
Real Madrid
16.8%
Draw
10.8%
Osasuna

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
Real Madrid
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
10.8%
Win probability
Osasuna
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Real Madrid
+38%
+18%
Osasuna

Points and table prediction

Real Madrid
Their league position
Osasuna
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
17
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
R. Sociedad
20
64
7%
Real Madrid
17
91
2%
Sevilla
17
67
8%
Atlético
17
71
7%
Osasuna
17
61
7%
Rayo Vallecano
16
58
6%
Barcelona
15
75
4%
Real Betis
15
61
6%
Athletic
13
51
11º
5%
Valencia
10º
12
66
4%
Espanyol
11º
12
42
13º
6%
Villarreal
12º
11
56
10º
5%
Mallorca
13º
11
38
15º
6%
Elche
14º
9
35
17º
6%
Celta
15º
7
40
14º
6%
Cádiz
16º
7
38
16º
7%
Granada
17º
6
43
12º
6%
Levante
18º
5
35
18º
8%
Alavés
19º
3
20
20º
11%
Getafe
20º
2
25
19º
10%
Expected probabilities
Real Madrid
Osasuna
Champion
97% 4%
Champions League
2% 20%
Europa League
0% 7%
Europa Conference League
0% 6%
Mid-table
0% 52%
Relegation
0% 11%

ELO progression

Osasuna
OSA
Real Madrid
RMA
Elche
ELC
Sevilla
SEV
Lille
LIL
Shakhtar Donetsk
SHA
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
1%
X%
2%
ELO RMA ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Oct. 2021
SHA
Shakhtar Donetsk
0 - 5
Real Madrid
RMA
15%
20%
64%
3416 1756 -1660 +12
03 Oct. 2021
ESP
Espanyol
2 - 1
Real Madrid
RMA
15%
20%
64%
3433 1802 -1631 -22
28 Sep. 2021
RMA
Real Madrid
1 - 2
Sheriff
SHF
80%
12%
8%
3482 1369 2113 -46
25 Sep. 2021
RMA
Real Madrid
0 - 0
Villarreal
VIL
72%
18%
10%
3487 2652 835 -8
22 Sep. 2021
RMA
Real Madrid
6 - 1
Mallorca
MLL
86%
10%
4%
3485 1760 1725 +3

Matches

Osasuna
Osasuna
1%
X%
2%
ELO OSA ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Oct. 2021
VIL
Villarreal
1 - 2
Osasuna
OSA
58%
23%
19%
2224 2666 442 +18
08 Oct. 2021
OSA
Osasuna
2 - 1
Alavés
ALA
56%
24%
20%
2207 1907 300 +17
02 Oct. 2021
OSA
Osasuna
1 - 0
Rayo Vallecano
RAY
61%
22%
17%
2201 1585 616 +6
26 Sep. 2021
MLL
Mallorca
2 - 3
Osasuna
OSA
37%
28%
35%
2191 1758 -433 +10
23 Sep. 2021
OSA
Osasuna
1 - 3
Real Betis
BET
44%
27%
29%
2209 2457 -248 -18